December Shout-Out! What are your predictions for the Web in 2010?

We’re all in an industry that moves at a cracking pace, so if you’re good at fortune-telling and magic 8-ball questioning, you’re already one step ahead of everyone!

And so, courtesy of armchaircritic, here’s December’s Shout Out: What are your predictions for the Web in 2010? What’s the next big thing? What’s going to change? What’s going to go away?

Internet Explorer will drop to 50% or less usage while Firefox and Chrome become the browser power houses, perhaps even taking over the number 1 and 2 positions pushing IE to number 3.

yes I agree with you sir, with firefox, but in chrome? I don’t think so there’s a much better browser than chrome, its opera they say opera is the fastest browser if faster than firefox when it comes on loading webpage, i would say firefox still the no.1, 2.Opera, 3.chrome,4.IE I want to see other reactions on this thread…

A few predictions…

Organic Search: more difficult
Achieving high ranking organic search results is going to become even more difficult, more lengthy and less profitable. Continuing an upward trend in PPC. While PPC rates will continue to go up.

Euros Gains on US Dollar as choice currency for online trade
As the US dollar continues it’s indefinite decline a growing percentage of online trade will be done in Euros.

Google phone vs Windows phone vs Iphone
The mobile Operating System war will intensify as Google and Microsoft ramp up initiatives to secure long term share in this market. With an official “Google Phone” (running Android) and an official Windows Phone released as early as Q4 2010.

I can’t see it, most users will happliy continue to use their IE7 & 8 blisfully unaware that there are other browsers available or even better. (sigh!)

I think mobile web is where we’ll see a huge growth. I wonder if we’ll start see some standards for mobile browsers or mobile phone screen formats to help accelerate this trend?

yes mobile web is growing very fast right now adapting to this fast pace environment that were living. :smiley:

I think IE usage will drop, especially IE6, but not to the point of being 2nd place. Opera will not grow as long as they have terrible PR and Hakon Wium Lie making ridiculous complaints and statements about Microsoft, it already has lower usage figures than Chrome, which also I can’t see growing much beyond what it has already - only a few %.

In the browser scene Safari will increase because of OSX and the iPhone, IE6 decrease.
markbrown4 will think of a million dollar web idea and give it away to a good cause.
A new server-side full-stack-framework will come to the fore.
js frameworks or extensions for video / svg / canvas will become more prominent.
@font-face will get more people interesting in fonts and the popular designers of free fonts will get more money from donations than they receive from their licensed fonts.

Sometime after December 15th, Windows users, in Europe at least, will get a notification on Windows Update of a random browser choice of 10 or so browsers to install. Don’t recall if that includes US and other users but I think it does.

I think we will also see a burst in social media marketing, like twitter and facebook. The online social network will become increasingly recognized in the larger companies as well. One positive side is that this marketing channel is more even for small and large companies as it is not expensive but merely time consuming.

social sites like Facebook and twitter is very popular right now here in my country almost everyone has an account on this sites

There will still be loads of sites displaying “copyright 2009” :wink:

Note to self: Put this on the To Do List.:rofl:

I’ve been working on a social marketing campaign for a cosmetics company, we’ve seen a 19% LFL increase in web traffic direct from social media with a persistant campaign… so a big thing for 2009

According to IEBlog, support will continue indefinitely for IE6, so there is not much hope, perhaps from a UK aspect we might see a minor reduction with the release of Windows 7… but there are an aweful lot of consumers that won’t buy a new box until their hard drive fails and there is also the commercial security aspect, for a sys-ad the last priority is to move a company from IE6 to IE7… so don’t wipe it off the radar.

&copy; Name <?php echo date('Y'); ?>

Sorted :stuck_out_tongue:

OK here goes…

I believe that typography will become a more prominent figure on the web (while I disagree with markbrown4 on it’s usefulness at the moment, I can definitely see it coming to a turning point). I also think that the mobile web will become more of a battleground in terms of browser dominance (in terms of yet more rendering engines), especially those coming soon from Mozilla (and the Google OS using Chrome) into the mainstream to match Apple, Microsoft and Opera. We will NOT see HTML5 go final, CSS3 will still remain out of reach for most of us, more emphasis will be placed on using frameworks like jQuery rather than learning to script (in the classroom). SitePoint will become more “socially engineered” with it’s staff getting more involved in work time to boost community numbers (hint hint head office). Accessibility will become more important (along with standards following) due to higher awareness of disabled peoples needs. IE6’s market share will reduce (as always) however it will still be a major player next year despite what other people think. Social marketing (using social networks appropriately) will become more dominant in preference to traditional SEO practices. Single page websites powered by JavaScript will become much more dominant for portfolio designs (rather than deep linked heavy duty ones). Less reliance on Flash and Silverlight will occur due to a more broadly supported and widespread use of SVG/VML/Canvas. More reliance on third party components for websites will occur (whether through Google Wave, Maps, Friendship grouping (such as with Facebook) and other socially interactive applications).

Need any more, I got plenty :stuck_out_tongue:

My predictions for 2010:

  1. Connecting computers to televisions will be more popular. This will benefit sites that stream movies and TV shows - i.e., videos that are too lengthy in time to watch on a computer monitor. This will be really hot in 2011.

  2. Facebook and MySpace will be devalued in their financial worth. I have this strange feeling the hammer is going to come down on overvalued websites in 2010 because of the stagnant economy. Just a hunch. (And I’m an optimist at heart.)

  3. Vevo will become a popular website for music videos even though its opening week was a rough one. I watched Rihanna’s video “Russian Roulette,” and it started and stopped a few times – yet I still have a feeling Vevo will get it together and become popular.

  4. Market share for web browsers will stay the same as it is now in the States until Autumn 2010. Google Chrome will gain in popularity in the fall of 2010 because Google Chrome OS will get a huge push in publicity.

  5. Cloud computing will gain in popularity but not enough to satisfy Wall Street. Be ready for headlines such as: “Cloud Computing Gains In Popularity But Investors Decry Lack of Profits.” Cloud computing will become popular eventually but it will take a few years.

  6. Tiger Woods’ website will remain popular but not for reasons he would like.

There are some very good predictions here, and I agree with a lot of them.

However, I think we’ve missed an important one, and that is: regulation.

Unfortunately, it’s headed for more regulation. More regulation on accessibility, more regulation on content (read ‘attack on free speech’), more regulation on profitability (read taxes), more regulation on copyright and patent-ability. I can even eventually see having to “register” your website and submit plans, and then have it “approved” (maybe not quite in '10, but we’re getting there).

I believe more regulation is bad (and you may disagree). I think the reason we’ve had such an explosion in the popularity of the Internet over the last decade, is because there is very little regulation, which means very little taxes, which means very little barrier to entry and barrier to profitability.

Ever tried to build your own house? Once you pay the fees, build your house to code, file all your paperwork and get your CO (certificate of occupancy), the cost will have doubled because of government imposed fees and regulations. A house that you could have built for $80,000 now costs $160,000.

And, look what has happened to the real estate market…

If you don’t think it’s possible (or likely), tell that to the settlers in the old west that built their homes out of logs from their property. The WWW is like the wild, wild west - but at some point, governing regulations will start to assume control. It’s only a matter of time.

That’s my two cents.

Tough one. My prediction is that we’ll see even more Wordpress based sites as it’s becoming easier and easier for non-tech-oriented people to operate it.