Anyone who makes their living by targeting the terminally clueless isn’t going to want to take the risk on themselves!
The problem with SEOists charging by results is that they don’t have any actual control over those results. Google’s algorithm is Google’s algorithm, and while they can push things in a certain direction, that’s all they can do. And then you’ve got other sites to worry about. You might launch your SEO drive just at the same time as your biggest competitor ups his game.
Performance-related pay is notoriously tricksy when you are not directly responsible for the outcome. Teachers, for example, have always fought against their pay being related to the exam results their kids achieve – one year’s class might be much less able than another, and penalising the teacher for not achieving the same results would be unfair. Likewise some websites are up against much stiffer competition than others, so you can do everything right for your site and still not get to the top of the tree if there are much better sites out there.
They lack confidence in their ability because they don’t produce consistent results or don’t understand the Google game.
My experience of SEO snake oil salesmen is that the one thing they have in abundance is confidence in their ability. Knowledge, understanding or skill, very little, but confidence, oh boy yes.
Unrealistic. SEOists would need to be experts in the website’s industry to know how feasible that is, and that’s unlikely. There are too many unknowns.
One of my biggest concerns about pay-for-results is that it encourages short-termism even more than is usual among SEOists. As a trade, it’s hardly known for its ethical stance, quality control or long-term ambition. Encouraging a guarantee of getting to #1, or p1 or whatever result you pay for, is only likely to lead to SEOists using ever more dodgy tactics to blast your site up the rankings before Google notices what you’re doing, there you go sir, that will be $1000 please, thank you, goodbye, whoops, now your site is back down on p50 and has been penalised for having a blacker hat than Darth Vader. That’s a common enough problem now, we don’t want to make it worse!
Ultimately, the results of SEO will usually only be as good as the content on the site. Some sites simply don’t deserve to appear in the first five pages for the keywords the author is targeting.